Wednesday 2 January 2019

Premier League Betting Match Preview: Aguero always score at home vs Liverpool 3/1/2019

Manchester City

At present, the two teams are ranked first and third respectively, but there is a 7-point gap between them. It's a game that Manchester City can't afford to lose. If they lose, the gap between the two teams will widen to 10 points, and then it may be difficult to catch up with their rivals. For Liverpool, a draw should be a happy result.

Manchester City and Liverpool have almost the same squad strength, but in recent weeks, the Blue Moon has loss form, losing three games in five league rounds and defeating the Saints in midweek has stopped two consecutive defeats.

Throughout the last three defeats at Manchester City, the team's overall tactics and playing methods are all right, the players also very hard work, but often it is a moment of error that caught by the opponents. In the midweek 3-1 victory over the Saints, Manchester City played in a very chaotic way to concede the equalizer to Southampton counter-attack, and this time against Liverpool they must not allowed that to happen again.

In recent years, Manchester City have been the disadvantaged side in the two teams'matches. In nearly 11 matches, Blue Moon has 1 victory, 3 draws and 6 defeats. The only they win last season beating  iLiverpool's 5-0 at home in the first leg. But in the second half of the season, after the Reds bought Van Dijk, the defensive shortcomings were compensated. Manchester City lost 3-4 to Liverpool in the second round, and the defeated in Champions League at home and away by the Reds. In the first round of the season, the two result were 0-0, but Liverpool that time was in a bad run  with 3 match win less, while Manchester City were in good form with four consecutive wins.

It's worth noting that Aguero, the team's top scorer, has scored six goals in the past six home games against Liverpool. He finally regained the feeling of scoring in the last round against the Saints, which undoubtedly injected a strong confidence into the team and will try his best to tear down the Red Army's defense.


Premier League current best form teams are Manchester United, which won 4 consecutive victories after the change of manager, and Liverpool, which won nine consecutive league games.

Liverpool have been in a exceptional form this season, they qualify to Champions League knockout round,  and remain unbeaten in the league, they are leading the league with 17 wins and 3 draws.

In the past, Liverpool's defense has been criticized, but last year after the Van Diyk and Alison joined, Klopp finally created a red army that are reliable. Liverpool have lost eight goals in 20 league matches so far this season, which is the best defensive team in the Premier League. The total number of goals lost is 1/2 of that of Manchester City, which is the second lowest in the Premier League.

On the offensive side, Front 3 Trident Salah, Firmino and Mane are becoming more and more deadly. Although Salah not scoring as much as last season,but it often assists the teammates to scored. Now, after the 20 rounds of the Premier League, the Egyptians have 13 goals and 7 assists, currently ranking third in the scoring list, but only one goal behind Aubameyang and Kane.

Many predict that this season's Golden Boots in the Premier League may be an "African Civil War"(Auba vs Salah).  Salah was directly involved in five goals (three goals and two assists) in the match between Liverpool vs Manchester City. In addition, Klopp is Guodiola most frequently lost opponent coach (a total of 7 times). It remains to be seen whether Klopp continues to restrain Guodiola or whether Guodiola succeeds in getting his revenge this time.

Important Stats

  • Manchester City have scored two or more goals in nearly 11 Premier League games at home.
  • Manchester City have scored more than 2.5 goals in each of the last six Premier League games at home.
  • Manchester City have scored more than 2.5 goals in eight of their last nine home games against Liverpool.
  • Liverpool have won all nine Premier League games.
  • Liverpool have scored three or more goals in five of their last six Premier League games.
  • Liverpool have won the last three Premier League games, leading at half-time in each game.
  • Liverpool have played 12 matches against Manchester City, 11 of which remain unbeaten.
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